IS reduced to cells. Sporadic attacks in Anbar, Kirkuk and Diyala continue.
Active - Low Intensity
ISIS remnant cells are conducting sporadic attacks including IEDs, ambushes, and assassinations targeting ISF and PMU personnel. Operations are primarily concentrated in Anbar, Nineveh, and Salah ad-Din provinces. The group maintains limited territorial control and relies on hit-and-run tactics and clandestine networks.
ISIS maintained a significant presence in Iraq following its territorial defeat in 2017. Remnant cells continue to operate in rural and mountainous regions, particularly in northern and western Iraq, conducting asymmetric attacks against Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) and Popular Mobilization Units (PMU).
Civilian casualties remain low due to reduced territorial control. Displaced populations in liberated areas face challenges with reconstruction and return. Mines and unexploded ordnance pose ongoing threats to civilian populations and aid delivery.
ISIS cells are likely to maintain low-level insurgent activity in the medium term. Iraqi security forces have improved counterinsurgency capabilities, but resource constraints and coordination challenges between ISF and PMU may limit effectiveness. De-radicalization and integration programs may help reduce recruitment.
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