CRITICAL

Sudan Civil War

NE Africa · Civil · SAF vs RSF

Armed conflict between Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces.

Conflict Location
Intelligence Summary
CRITICAL
Severity
Civil
Type
1
Headlines (48h)
90h
Last Updated

Current Status

According to Reuters and BBC reporting, armed conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continues with competing territorial control and intense fighting reported across multiple regions as of late 2024.

Situation 2026

• AFP reports SAF and RSF forces are engaged in sustained fighting across Khartoum, Darfur, and eastern regions, with control of territory remaining contested • According to BBC, RSF has made territorial gains in parts of western Sudan, though SAF maintains control of significant urban centers including portions of the capital • Al Jazeera reports allegations of widespread atrocities by both sides, including mass killings and sexual violence, though independent verification remains limited for many incidents • Reuters cites UN sources indicating the conflict has created a severe blockade on humanitarian access, complicating assessments of current casualties and displacement • Washington Post reports regional actors including Egypt, Libya, and Gulf states have varying degrees of involvement, though direct military intervention remains limited

Background

The Sudan civil war began in April 2023 following a power struggle between SAF commander General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and RSF leader Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (known as 'Hemedti'). According to AP and Al Jazeera, tensions escalated from a failed integration of RSF paramilitary forces into the national army. The conflict has since expanded into one of Africa's largest humanitarian crises, per UN assessments.

Humanitarian Impact

• UN sources cited by BBC estimate over 10 million people have been displaced internally or fled to neighboring countries as refugees • According to ICRC statements reported by AFP, famine conditions are emerging in multiple regions, with food insecurity affecting the majority of Sudan's population • Al Jazeera reports healthcare infrastructure has collapsed in conflict zones, with disease outbreaks including cholera documented by health agencies

Outlook

Reuters analysis suggests the conflict may persist without diplomatic breakthrough, as both SAF and RSF show limited willingness for ceasefire negotiations. Multiple sources indicate humanitarian conditions will likely deteriorate further absent international intervention or negotiated settlement.

Key Actors

Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF)Rapid Support Forces (RSF)United NationsAfrican UnionEgyptRegional actors (Libya, Gulf states)
Latest Headlines
Conflict Timeline
2023-04-15
Conflict erupts in Khartoum
Armed clashes break out between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in the capital city. The fighting marks the beginning of open conflict after months of political tensions.
2023-04-16
RSF launches nationwide offensive
The RSF launches coordinated attacks across multiple cities including Khartoum, Omdurman, and other major urban centers. The military operation rapidly escalates the conflict from skirmishes to full-scale war.
2023-05-01
Major battle for Khartoum airport
Intense fighting occurs at Khartoum International Airport as SAF and RSF compete for control of strategic infrastructure. The airport becomes a key flashpoint in urban warfare.
2023-05-11
First ceasefire agreement fails
A ceasefire brokered by Saudi Arabia and the United States collapses after just hours as fighting resumes. Both sides resume active combat operations across the country.
2023-06-15
RSF captures Medani city
The Rapid Support Forces seize control of Medani, Sudan's third-largest city, marking a significant territorial gain. The capture signals RSF's growing military strength beyond Khartoum.
2023-08-01
Humanitarian crisis deepens
The UN warns of imminent famine conditions as millions are displaced and food supplies dwindle. Entire regions face severe shortages of food, water, and medical services.
2023-11-20
SAF gains momentum in counter-offensive
The Sudanese Armed Forces launch coordinated attacks to retake territory from RSF in several regions. SAF demonstrates improved military organization and coordination.
2024-01-15
Conflict persists with stalemate
After nine months of fighting, neither side achieves decisive victory as warfare becomes protracted. Thousands killed and millions displaced in ongoing humanitarian catastrophe.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sudan Civil War?
The Sudan civil war began in April 2023 following a power struggle between SAF commander General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and RSF leader Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (known as 'Hemedti'). According to AP and Al Jazeera, tensions escalated from a failed integration of RSF paramilitary forces into the national army. The conflict has since expanded into one of Africa's largest humanitarian crises, per UN assessments.
Who are the parties involved in the Sudan Civil War?
The main parties are SAF vs RSF. According to Reuters and BBC reporting, armed conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continues with competing territorial control and intense fighting reported across multiple regions as of late 2024.
What is the current situation in the Sudan Civil War?
• AFP reports SAF and RSF forces are engaged in sustained fighting across Khartoum, Darfur, and eastern regions, with control of territory remaining contested • According to BBC, RSF has made territorial gains in parts of western Sudan, though SAF maintains control of significant urban centers including portions of the capital • Al Jazeera reports allegations of widespread atrocities by both sides, including mass killings and sexual violence, though independent verification remains limited for many incidents • Reuters cites UN sources indicating the conflict has created a severe blockade on humanitarian access, complicating assessments of current casualties and displacement • Washington Post reports regional actors including Egypt, Libya, and Gulf states have varying degrees of involvement, though direct military intervention remains limited
What is the humanitarian impact of the Sudan Civil War?
• UN sources cited by BBC estimate over 10 million people have been displaced internally or fled to neighboring countries as refugees • According to ICRC statements reported by AFP, famine conditions are emerging in multiple regions, with food insecurity affecting the majority of Sudan's population • Al Jazeera reports healthcare infrastructure has collapsed in conflict zones, with disease outbreaks including cholera documented by health agencies
What is the outlook for the Sudan Civil War?
Reuters analysis suggests the conflict may persist without diplomatic breakthrough, as both SAF and RSF show limited willingness for ceasefire negotiations. Multiple sources indicate humanitarian conditions will likely deteriorate further absent international intervention or negotiated settlement.
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